2026 Precursors Analysis
Here's an analysis of different precursor awards and nominations for each Best Picture nominee based on the accuracy of these precursors in the last 10 years.
Go back to statistics...
1. One Battle After Another (96.1%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
9/9
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
6/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
4/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
2. Sinners (90.8%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
9/9
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
6/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
4/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
3. Marty Supreme (76.9%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
9/9
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
6/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
4/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
4. Hamnet (76.2%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
9/9
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
6/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
4/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
5. Frankenstein (70%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
9/9
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
6/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
4/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
6. Sentimental Value (55.9%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
|
6/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
4/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
7. Bugonia (40.1%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
9/9
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
6/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
4/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
8. Train Dreams (27.5%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
9/9
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
6/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
4/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
9. F1 (16.9%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
9/9
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
6/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
4/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
10. The Secret Agent (12.5%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
|
6/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
4/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
