2024 Precursors Analysis
Here's an analysis of different precursor awards and nominations for each Best Picture nominee based on the accuracy of these precursors in the last 10 years.
Go back to statistics...
1. Oppenheimer (95.9%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
7/7
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
PGA Best Picture Winner
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
|
4/6
|
WGA Best Screenplay Winner
|
5/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
5/10
|
SAG Ensemble Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
DGA Best Director Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
2/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Winner
|
2. Poor Things (71.9%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
7/10
|
PGA Best Picture Winner
|
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
5/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
5/10
|
SAG Ensemble Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
DGA Best Director Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
2/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Winner
|
3. Killers of the Flower Moon (66%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
7/7
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
PGA Best Picture Winner
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
|
4/6
|
WGA Best Screenplay Winner
|
5/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
5/10
|
SAG Ensemble Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
DGA Best Director Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
2/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Winner
|
4. The Holdovers (51.8%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
7/7
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
PGA Best Picture Winner
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
|
4/6
|
WGA Best Screenplay Winner
|
5/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
5/10
|
SAG Ensemble Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
DGA Best Director Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
2/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Winner
|
5. Barbie (50.6%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
7/7
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
PGA Best Picture Winner
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
|
4/6
|
WGA Best Screenplay Winner
|
5/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
5/10
|
SAG Ensemble Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
DGA Best Director Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
2/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Winner
|
6. American Fiction (41.1%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
7/7
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
PGA Best Picture Winner
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
|
4/6
|
WGA Best Screenplay Winner
|
5/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
5/10
|
SAG Ensemble Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
DGA Best Director Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
2/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Winner
|
7. Maestro (37%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
7/7
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
PGA Best Picture Winner
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
|
4/6
|
WGA Best Screenplay Winner
|
5/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
5/10
|
SAG Ensemble Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
DGA Best Director Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
2/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Winner
|
8. Anatomy of a Fall (36.6%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
7/10
|
PGA Best Picture Winner
|
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
5/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
5/10
|
SAG Ensemble Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
DGA Best Director Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
2/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Winner
|
9. Past Lives (29.5%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
7/7
|
WGA Best Screenplay Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
|
7/10
|
PGA Best Picture Winner
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
|
4/6
|
WGA Best Screenplay Winner
|
5/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
5/10
|
SAG Ensemble Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
DGA Best Director Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
2/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Winner
|
10. The Zone of Interest (21.3%)
|
9/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Nomination
|
|
10/10
|
PGA Best Picture Nomination
|
10/10
|
Oscar Screenplay Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
Golden Globes Best Director Nomination
|
9/10
|
DGA Best Director Nomination
|
|
9/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Nomination
|
9/10
|
Oscar Acting Nomination
|
|
8/10
|
Oscar Best Director Nomination
|
8/10
|
Oscar Film Editing Nomination
|
|
7/10
|
National Board of Review Top 10
|
7/10
|
PGA Best Picture Winner
|
|
7/10
|
SAG Ensemble Nomination
|
5/10
|
Critics Choice Best Picture Winner
|
|
5/10
|
SAG Ensemble Winner
|
4/9
|
Golden Globes Best Picture Winner
|
|
4/10
|
DGA Best Director Winner
|
4/10
|
Oscar Cinematography Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscars Most Nominations
|
3/10
|
Oscar Score Nomination
|
|
3/10
|
Oscar Production Design Nomination
|
2/10
|
BAFTA Best Film Winner
|
